Natsuki Arai
Assistant Professor
Economics
Contact
Address
Room 118
300 North Washington St.
Gettysburg, PA 17325-1400
Website
WebsiteEducation
PhD Johns Hopkins University
MA Johns Hopkins University
MA University of Tokyo
BA University of Tokyo
Academic Focus
Applied Macroeconomics and Forecasting
Courses Taught
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Article Using Forecast Evaluation to Improve the Accuracy of the Greenbook Forecast International Journal of Forecasting (2014)
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Article Evaluating the Efficiency of the FOMC’s New Economic Projections, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2016)
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Article The Effects of Monetary Policy Announcements at the Zero Lower Bound International Journal of Central Banking (2017)
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Article Investigating the Inefficiency of CBO's Budgetary Projections International Journal of Forecasting (2020)
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Article The FOMC's New Individual Economic Projections and Macroeconomic Theories Journal of Banking and Finance (2023)
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Article Introductory Economics: Gender, Majors, and Future Performance Taiwan Economic Forecast and Policy (2024)
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Article The Efficiency of the Japanese Government’s Revenue Projections Economics Letters (2024)
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Article Long-Run Peer Effects and Promotion: Evidence from 70-Plus Years of Career Records in Japan Economic Inquiry (2025)